Microsoft, Intel Face Their Kodak Moment - InformationWeek
Microsoft, Intel Face Their Kodak Moment
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User Rank: Apprentice
1/31/2012 | 5:19:16 PM
re: Microsoft, Intel Face Their Kodak Moment
The computer industry has many technologies that disappear (floppy disks) and some that singificantly decline, but don't die (mainframes). I believe that desktop and notebook PCs (not netbooks or ultrabooks) fall into the second category. There will still be a subset of users, such as CAD designers or architects, who need larger screen real estate than a smartphone or tablet can provide. The business model changes, the sustaining economics change, and the number of vendors changes when the user base shrinks this much -- for sure. One could even argue that a tablet + docking station (Bluetooth keyboard, external monitor) might even address the needs of these users someday. But I don't think that PCs will ever fully disappear the way that Instamatic and Polaroid cameras have.

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