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World Cup Management: Data Or Intuition?
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David Wagner
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David Wagner,
User Rank: Strategist
6/13/2014 | 11:41:20 AM
Re: Cold and Heartless Data
@technocrati- Don't worry. I'm your Sith Lord and you are my apprentice. As long as you serve the dark side, you are fine.
David Wagner
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David Wagner,
User Rank: Strategist
6/13/2014 | 11:40:19 AM
Re: Do we have to worry about that anymore?
@Pedro- I think it would too, though it would make for some interesting choices. For instance, the way the computer would see a hot streak compared to a person. A human sees a hot streak and thinks "wow, that guy is getting better" or at least "ride the hot hand." A computer might say the player is bound to regress to the mean and he might bench him int he middle of the hot streak. Imagine the howling that would create.

Though I know this--I wish the manager of my softball team was a computer. I'm batting .733 and he keeps dropping me in the linup for people who are terrible. :)
SaneIT
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SaneIT,
User Rank: Ninja
6/13/2014 | 7:56:19 AM
Re: Do we have to worry about that anymore?
I saw the other day that Salesforce is talking about a smart watch to send notifications to employees.  I could see the same being used by a baseball manager, a little chime and the watch shows a pitch count and probability of your starter giving up a few runs this inning so the manager can have a conference on the mound.  Then during that conference the AI can assess the situation and recalculate the odds.
Technocrati
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Technocrati,
User Rank: Ninja
6/12/2014 | 10:48:41 PM
Re: Do we have to worry about that anymore?
I wonder if after a certain amount of time whether players would enjoy the objectivity of a computer manager. If you know the ocmputer doesn't play favorites maybe you can accept its decisions better.


@David    That would be an interesting way to approach things.  I agree.  One would think the players would have to respect to objective, based on the numbers approach a computer manager would use because they ( the players) are surly watching these numbers themselves.

But you still have the issue of playing time for instance which ultimately effects the programming of the computer manager and it's overall effectiveness.
Technocrati
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Technocrati,
User Rank: Ninja
6/12/2014 | 10:20:18 PM
Re: Cold and Heartless Data
You crack me up Rich.   And I would like to Thank you for alerting me to obviously misconfigured user rating -  Apprentice ?  Really ?   Sounds like (forced) child labor if you ask me.   Maybe the good folks at IW are playing a cruel joke that has mirrored my career to date.

You know, start at the bottom, and stay there way too long. 

Well looks like I am paying my dues again - what is the next step on the organizational ladder ?    Strategist ?    Nice I like that one.  In keeping with the theme, I'll probably hold that longer than I should as well.   Until I can reach my real goal of becoming a Ninja.   

I always wanted to be a Ninja.
PedroGonzales
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PedroGonzales,
User Rank: Ninja
6/12/2014 | 10:02:17 PM
Re: Do we have to worry about that anymore?
@ David.  I think it will makes player selection much better. If a player wants some sort of special treatment, the app can show via a record of their performance in the field that his actions aren't the correct one.  Those who want special treatment should evaluate themselves.  I do not know how one can assess the performance of the team and evaluate its individual players.
David Wagner
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David Wagner,
User Rank: Strategist
6/12/2014 | 11:46:54 AM
Re: Do we have to worry about that anymore?
@SaneIT- That's probably a good compromise- an app on a tablet that makes suggestions like a bench coach. But a person to manage the personalities. Though as I say it, I wonder if after a certain amount of time whether players would enjoy the objectivity of a computer manager. If you know the ocmputer doesn't play favorites maybe you can accept its decisions better. 
SaneIT
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SaneIT,
User Rank: Ninja
6/12/2014 | 7:26:42 AM
Re: Do we have to worry about that anymore?
@Rich.  That's funny, but imagine a hive minded team with the queen sitting up in the box seats giving commands.  I could see it working, now we just have to find some players who don't mind a little infection and infestation.  On the bright side we could probably get them to play for sugar cubes.
SaneIT
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SaneIT,
User Rank: Ninja
6/12/2014 | 7:19:46 AM
Re: Do we have to worry about that anymore?
We may not see the robot manager on the field but I wouldn't doubt that a piece of software will be running the show in the future.  Baseball managers are famous for their strategy, when a machine can assess all of the odds and pick the most advantageous action I can see managers turning to them for in game decision making.
Technocrati
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Technocrati,
User Rank: Ninja
6/12/2014 | 1:30:39 AM
Cold and Heartless Data
I think Data-Driven management has it's place. But personally I would never allow it to surpress intuition.   Making decisions based on data often makes the person or company carrying this out to be  often cold and heartless - not the way I want to live my life or run a business.

A healthy balance can be found - believe it or not.
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