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Tablet Sales Sag
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danielcawrey
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danielcawrey,
User Rank: Ninja
7/10/2014 | 3:27:28 PM
Only so many
There are only so many tablets that people can buy. And I think that the idea consumers would replace their tablets every year is totally ridiculous. Of course slates are going follow the some lifecycle pattern as PCs.

Who came up with this idea that a tablet would have a lifespan of just twelve months? Why would someone pay hundreds of dollars for an electronic product that only lasted that long?
Ariella
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Ariella,
User Rank: Ninja
7/10/2014 | 4:12:42 PM
Re: Only so many
@Danielcawrey, I agree. If I shell out a few hundred dollars, I'd want more than one year's use out of the device. Even people who always trade in for new models -- whether cars or phones -- usually keep each for at least two years. 
Thomas Claburn
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Thomas Claburn,
User Rank: Author
7/10/2014 | 4:53:02 PM
Internet of Things to the rescue...
At least the hardware industry can rest assured that everyone will buy a smartwatch and connected sofa. Oh wait. Maybe the bubble will pop after all.
Gary_EL
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Gary_EL,
User Rank: Ninja
7/10/2014 | 8:18:55 PM
Re: Only so many
The tablet and laptop are often one and the same, and now the laptop and smartphone are converging. Once something like Google Glass becomes commonplace, standardized and cheap, then neither the laptop, tablet, or the smartphone will need a separate screen. Then, one device will be able to encompass all three.
SaneIT
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SaneIT,
User Rank: Ninja
7/11/2014 | 8:17:01 AM
Re: Only so many
This does seem to be the direction of things.  We've spent decades searching for the perfect screen size for portable devices.  I like the tablet or smart phone as a dockable desktop replacement, we just have to figure out what the size is that fits the most needs.  I could do without a tablet sized display if there were easy to access displays that I could use with a smartphone.  I think Asus was on the right track with their Transformer line that nested a phone into a tablet that had a snap on keyboard.  The problem I had is that the hardware just wasn't ready yet for me to replace my current devices.
majenkins
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majenkins,
User Rank: Ninja
7/11/2014 | 10:17:40 AM
OH NO!
Wait I thought "they" told us that tablets were going to kill the PC and now you tell before the takeover is even complete something else is killing the tablet. That is what decreased sales mean isn't that the tablet is dead. In fact even a slowed increase in sales should mean the tablet is dead since that is what was reported first about PC sales.
UberGoober
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UberGoober,
User Rank: Strategist
7/11/2014 | 10:42:38 AM
Continuum of Usability
Every protable device is a compromise between portability and usability.  The difference between a 5" phone and a 7" tablet isn't dramatic, particularly for those of  us with older eyes, so having a 7" tablet that isn't a phone and won't fit on your belt just isn't a strong value proposition, but it make a decent e-reader.  The 10" tablet adds enought screen real estate to make a difference, though without a better input method than typiing on glass, it remains primarily a data consumption device, and is severely limited for data creation.  A real live desktop (or in a pinch, laptop) computer with a real keyboard and mouse is, for the forseeable future, going to be the natural home for people who are creators. 

Bottom line, there's a market for a range of devices, and even a 'tiny' market for 7" tablets will amount to millions of units per year.  The market will always change over time, but it is as silly to predict the imminent death of tablets as it was to predict the death of desktops.
JonNLakeland
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JonNLakeland,
User Rank: Moderator
7/11/2014 | 11:36:54 AM
Re: Only so many
The big question in my mind is whether a HUD like Google Glass or a dockable like the Ubuntu Edge concept succeed first - or a merger of the two. How awesome would it be if your smartphone could provide a full computer experience on a pair of HUD glasses?
Thomas Claburn
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Thomas Claburn,
User Rank: Author
7/11/2014 | 4:29:15 PM
Re: Continuum of Usability
I expect we'll make a distinction between desktop computers and mobile computers as long as we need fans and space to cool hot-running desktop chips. If we can get speed without much heat, there's no reason not to put the electronics in an iPad, to add peripherals if necessary, and to move it or not as required.
Somedude8
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Somedude8,
User Rank: Ninja
7/11/2014 | 10:48:25 PM
Replacement Cycles
Much longer replacement cycles for tablets. I really believe its that simple.
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