Re: Predict The Future
It's an interesting question, and one we find ourselves faced with year after year. Maybe that doesn't sound like much of a statement, but when we're talking about 'the future' in a business context, we're talking about a very unique kind of problem. Most problems, you solve, and they go away. This problem is different. No matter how air-tight your 'future solution' is, it's going to have some cracks in it... and even if it works out, you're only ever delaying until the next time you have to face it, like some kind of budget-eating phoenix. It's consumed many great IT heroes over the years, and I'm happy to have some tips to deal with it.
We could basically say that great leaders get their reputation from being great at facing (and planning for) the future. Those who would rather wait out the storm and let somebody else make the tough decisions are more likely to stay where they are, but those who rise to the occasion (and succeed) will reap the rewards. Again, maybe that's a statement that's been made a thousand times, but it's no less true today than it ever was. However, there's an art to making those tough decisions, and with a little practice, most people can have as good a shot at predicting the future as the finest crystal ball. Even if you work in a field without Data (or budgets), it's not hard to see how these tips could be adapted. Thanks!