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Facebook To Lose 80% Of Users By 2017
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Shane M. O'Neill
50%
50%
Shane M. O'Neill,
User Rank: Author
1/23/2014 | 1:34:00 PM
Re: To what?
I agree, there's nothing really comparable to Facebook that people could jump to. I don't see Google+ being a factor. Perhaps having a Facebook-type social media profile will fall out of fashion and people will delete FB accounts with no replacement. After all, we have Instagram; we have LinkedIn; we have SnapChat; we have text messaging. Maybe phone calls will make a comeback. I basically use Facebook as a news feed now. As this story indicates, its relevance as a way to connect with people is fading.
TerryB
50%
50%
TerryB,
User Rank: Ninja
1/23/2014 | 1:30:02 PM
Re: To what?
Agreed. But author accomplished purpose of getting people like me and you to read it. :-)

I just mentioned SnapChat as example of how quickly things emerge today, you are absolutely correct it is not same service as Facebook. But that could change also, you never know.

The interesting thing in article was the conclusion it matches models typically used for predicting disease spread. I don't have the statistical chops to comment on that one. But that drove their prediction of 2017 and 80%.
eleveneleven
50%
50%
eleveneleven,
User Rank: Apprentice
1/23/2014 | 1:19:56 PM
Re: To what?
SnapChat isn't a replacement, it's a suppliment. Just like Instagram (though Facebook owns them now).

 

It will be interesting to see if some new challenger shows up with an actual viable replacement, but I'm not sure how you can set a date and a number with absolutely no one currently showing the potential to steal FB users.
TerryB
50%
50%
TerryB,
User Rank: Ninja
1/23/2014 | 1:02:04 PM
Re: To what?
I'm sure that's what MySpace said about the young whipper-snapper Facebook at one time. I'm sure you are correct the market won't go to Google, probably someone not even on radar yet. Look at emergence of SnapChat out of nowhere.

But 80% does seem kind of high by 2017. The younger kids may be that fickle but Facebook has penetrated pretty well into the Boomer generation. I don't see my wife and her friends of that age jumping around that much.
eleveneleven
50%
50%
eleveneleven,
User Rank: Apprentice
1/23/2014 | 12:56:19 PM
To what?
Google+ definitely won't steal 80%
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