re: Windows 8: Let's Not Plan The Funeral Yet
Well stated. I agree 100%. Give Microsoft huge marks for what's under the hood sand for the orginality and elegance of the Metro interface. They are working hard to get apps in to their marketplace. Kinect lurks intriguingly in the background. But they seem to have completely missed two key pieces of the puzzle, i.e., continuity of user experience and ease of upgrade.
Microsoft is right to recognize the need for a converged universe and of PC, cloud, mobile, work, leisure. But for many reasons Microsoft they can't follow Apple's script to get there, as they seem to be doing. Apple led from its market strength which was at the time a mobile ecosystem: iOS, iPhone, iPod, iTunes, etc. Microsoft must lead from its strength, which is in fact the desktop and the back end.
Yes, mobile and desktop cross-sell one another once everything clicks, but to get their chain reaction going in time to matter, Microsoft must drive early adoption of Win 8 in the enterprise. I agree with every one of your points on how they should have gone about this.
Instead you land in Metro, it's not intuitive how to get to the standard Windows desktop and when you do get there 50% of what you know in Win 7 does not apply. The excellent security features aren't being advertised as they should and to get them you have to endure the expense and headache of a full upgrade to an alien system that in the end may not be that much more useful in the enterprise than what you've already got.
Small surprise that after testing we've concluded that we'll stand pat for now. We'll eventually follow the hardware, knowing that in the meantime users will be more familiar with the new interface from home purchases. In other words we're a couple of years away at best.
Will we support Win 8 mobile devices? Yes if the demand is there. But iPhones and iPads are the new normal, we're looking at Google and we have a large installed base of Blackberry users who will be allowed to upgrade as it looks now. So they are swimming against the tide.
Absolutely too soon to dig a grave for Windows 8, but these mis-steps are serious.