The precipitous drop in PSTN revenue will be caused by increasing use of voice-over-IP (VoIP), a trend the telecoms will need to continue to capitalize on, the study says. The study predicts a worldwide decrease in revenues from traditional PSTN voice service of about 16.7 percent between the end of 2005 and 2011. That percentage works out to about $100 billion in lost earnings from traditional voice service, the market research firm said.
"After 2010, PSTN will no longer be the main revenue generator in developed countries," report author Malik Saadi said in a statement. "There will be no justification for big operators to reserve a whole network for traditional PSTN voice traffic. This trend will increasingly push operators and network owners to gradually migrate their subscribers from traditional PSTN to VoIP."
Saadi noted, though, that there is peril in this trend. In particular, there is the threat of revenue loss for telecoms because VoIP charges are lower than those for PSTN service, he said. In addition, there is a lot more competition from dedicated VoIP vendors such as Skype and Vonage, according to Saadi.
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