Web 2.0 Summit: Intel CEO Expects PC Sales Surge - InformationWeek
IoT
IoT
Government // Enterprise Architecture
News
10/22/2009
01:34 PM
Connect Directly
Google+
LinkedIn
Twitter
RSS
E-Mail
50%
50%
RELATED EVENTS
7 Key Cloud Security Trends Shaping 2017 & Beyond
Dec 15, 2016
Cloud computing is enabling business transformation as organizations accelerate time to market and ...Read More>>

Web 2.0 Summit: Intel CEO Expects PC Sales Surge

Paul Otellini sees businesses moving to replace their aging hardware and promise in moving to a more distributed approach to healthcare.

Relief that the economy appears to be on the mend is proving to be a common sentiment at the Web 2.0 Summit this year.

Intel's strong earnings report last week is being credited with helping push the Dow past 10,000 for the first time in a year and CEO Paul Otellini sees reason for optimism.

In an interview with Web 2.0 Summit program chair John Battelle, Otellini said that PC sales are looking up.

"We're likely to see PC unit volume this year above 2008, which you wouldn't have thought a year ago," he said, crediting growth in China.

Come 2010, Otellini expects increased corporate sales, as companies move to replace aging equipment.

"In general, corporate budgets are still clamped down," he said. "I expect that to change in 2010."

The average corporate desktop, Otellini observed, is five years old and the average notebook is four years old. Many of those machines cannot run Windows 7.

"We're set up for a scenario where they have to be replaced," he said.

Otellini -- who, according to Battelle, has previously observed that the pace of netbook adoption is outpacing both the Nintendo Wii and Apple's iPhone -- is also bullish about the future of netbooks.

The first round of netbooks appealed to people as low-cost, second PCs, particularly for their kids, said Otellini. "Now they're starting to sell to first-time users in emerging markets like India," he said.

Asked what he made of Microsoft's shift from loathing to loving cloud computing, Otellini said that from a hardware perspective, cloud computing isn't much of a change. "I like [Larry] Ellison's definition of the cloud," he said. "He said there's nothing new here. You still have servers, networks, and clients. What's different is the use model."

Otellini conceded that it makes sense to serve some applications from the cloud, but not all of them. "I don't think I'd put my payroll system into the cloud," he said.

Otellini also expressed confidence in the market for healthcare IT, noting that Intel has partnered with GE to focus on home healthcare. "Let's keep people [in need of medical treatment] at home longer," he said, noting that home care represents the lowest cost to society. "We're developing a family of devices to allow that," he said, citing video conferencing and intelligent medication systems as examples.

Healthcare, he said, needs to shift from a centralized model to a distributed one.

As the subject turned to Moore's Law -- Intel co-founder Gordon Moore's observation that research tends to drive the doubling of transistor density roughly every two years -- Otellini said that Intel knows how to design the next three generations of silicon chips.

After that, in perhaps six years or so, continued chip processing advancements are less certain. But Intel seems to be ready to revise Moore's Law by moving beyond silicon.

"Moore's Law is not a law of nature," said Otellini. "It's a law that reflects human inventiveness."

Otellini said that Intel has a non-silicon prototype, in case traditional silicon chip design methods hit a wall. Asked to describe it, he said only, "It's cool."

InformationWeek and Dr. Dobb's have published an in-depth report on how Web application development is moving to online platforms. Download the report here (registration required).

Comment  | 
Print  | 
More Insights
Comments
Newest First  |  Oldest First  |  Threaded View
How Enterprises Are Attacking the IT Security Enterprise
How Enterprises Are Attacking the IT Security Enterprise
To learn more about what organizations are doing to tackle attacks and threats we surveyed a group of 300 IT and infosec professionals to find out what their biggest IT security challenges are and what they're doing to defend against today's threats. Download the report to see what they're saying.
Register for InformationWeek Newsletters
White Papers
Current Issue
Top IT Trends to Watch in Financial Services
IT pros at banks, investment houses, insurance companies, and other financial services organizations are focused on a range of issues, from peer-to-peer lending to cybersecurity to performance, agility, and compliance. It all matters.
Video
Slideshows
Twitter Feed
InformationWeek Radio
Archived InformationWeek Radio
Join us for a roundup of the top stories on InformationWeek.com for the week of November 6, 2016. We'll be talking with the InformationWeek.com editors and correspondents who brought you the top stories of the week to get the "story behind the story."
Sponsored Live Streaming Video
Everything You've Been Told About Mobility Is Wrong
Attend this video symposium with Sean Wisdom, Global Director of Mobility Solutions, and learn about how you can harness powerful new products to mobilize your business potential.
Flash Poll