This is the third year in a row I've gone to the RSA tradeshow. Since I don't cover security as a central part of my job, it's a lot to take in, drinking from a fire hose and all that. As I met with vendors, they generally wanted to talk about one or more of the following: trends in threats, trends in customer needs, new products they’re announcing or the overall business success they've had (they could spare me this, I know you'll find a way to tell me how great you are).
The first category is designed to scare the crap out of unsuspecting journalists so that they'll write about the findings of the vendor. For the most part it works, though after a while you can start to tell that not everyone claiming to have quantitative research does. For instance, we heard a couple vendors claim that malware was on the increase. Most say that's not true. The majority opinion is that malware attacks are becoming less frequent, more targeted, and more successful. The bad guys are organized, and they continue to get better and be more sophisticated about what they do.
Social engineering, particularly through social media sites like Facebook, is one of the newer and more rapidly increasing threats. Defending against it takes education for the most part. To a lesser degree, Web and email gateways can help to weed out some of this. The Web gateways have had to quickly become smarter about dealing with sites like LinkedIn and Facebook. It's no longer legit in most organizations to fully block these sites (some do it, and for good reason -- I know you're out there). More often you want to block certain aspects of the site. Sometimes it's identified malware like phishing attacks, in other cases you just may not want workers playing Farmville at work.
The threats follow the traffic and personal email traffic is indeed down, being replaced by traffic to social networking sites. For many it's a place they're becoming more used to interacting with friends and family, and at least so far, Facebook messaging isn't a place where you'll get daily emails from every online vendor with whom you've made a purchase. Functionally that means that Gmail or Hotmail is the place where you hear from your bank, your frequent flyer programs, your cable provider, and others that toe the line between junk and bulk email. The social engineers want to be in with your personal correspondence, and so targeting Facebook is now far more interesting to them.
Signature-based systems are still some of the most popular security systems in use. Whether it's host-based or network-based, chances are there's lots and lots of this sort of scanning happening in your environment. Polymorphic code has been the tool of choice for well-organized bad guys looking to get around scanners. Vendor Stonesoft believes we'll be seeing a twist on that concept in which TCP/IP features such as packet fragmentation, out-of-order delivery, or simple use of non-relevant features like setting type of service bits are used as a means to avoid signature detection. The bottom line is that analysis requires full processing of the TCP/IP protocol -- not just simple signature matching.
Most firewalls and IPS/IDS products look for at least some of these tricks. Whether they catch them all and whether attacks are based on ones they miss is a matter for some debate. Bottom line -- make sure that your firewalls and IDS/IPS systems fully reassemble TCP flows for analysis.
As social networking and other services like Gmail become more attractive attack vectors, the vendors are increasingly turning to encryption to protect their systems. SSL capabilities for gateways, firewalls, DLP products, and anything else that hopes to see inside the conversation is becoming critical, and of course the more watching you do, the more delay you'll incur and the more horsepower or specialized hardware you'll be throwing at a problem. If your thought is that all SSL encrypted traffic is inherently good, it's probably time to rethink that notion.