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12/17/2013
12:36 PM
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IBM Predicts Next 5 Life-Changing Tech Innovations

IBM unveils its annual "5 in 5" list of technology breakthroughs that promise to change how we work and live within five years. Real promise or PR fantasy?
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Classrooms learn you 
If children can't learn the way we teach, why don't we teach the way they learn? This question captures IBM's vision for learning classrooms that track the progress of each student and then personalize coursework accordingly. Teachers naturally adapt to the needs of each student, but IBM says cloud-based systems will 'go much further' by automatically creating customized lesson plans and tailoring coursework for specific careers. This will enable schools to 'reach more students in more meaningful ways,' says IBM. With students leaning at their own pace, we'll move beyond the tyranny of grades.
IBM scientists are putting these theories to the test in a research project with Gwinnett County Public Schools in Georgia, and it says big data analytics will predict performance and learning needs and then align learning content and techniques with specific students. Sounds good in theory, but we've also recently seen great expectations for massive open online courses (MOOCs) that haven't been met. So is IBM onto something, or is this one of those predictions that's too good to be true?

Classrooms learn you
If children can't learn the way we teach, why don't we teach the way they learn? This question captures IBM's vision for learning classrooms that track the progress of each student and then personalize coursework accordingly. Teachers naturally adapt to the needs of each student, but IBM says cloud-based systems will "go much further" by automatically creating customized lesson plans and tailoring coursework for specific careers. This will enable schools to "reach more students in more meaningful ways," says IBM. With students leaning at their own pace, we'll move beyond the tyranny of grades.

IBM scientists are putting these theories to the test in a research project with Gwinnett County Public Schools in Georgia, and it says big data analytics will predict performance and learning needs and then align learning content and techniques with specific students. Sounds good in theory, but we've also recently seen great expectations for massive open online courses (MOOCs) that haven't been met. So is IBM onto something, or is this one of those predictions that's too good to be true?

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Brian.Dean
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Brian.Dean,
User Rank: Ninja
3/19/2014 | 4:32:33 AM
Re: Local retail
Kevin, I agree that what you have said does play out. The trade-off that Google or a company that adversities faces might also be creating an effort, for instance, if Google continuously pushes paid content forward to its users by pushing organic content down, then users will leave. If companies do not advertise then their prices can be decreased but this will also limit their reach -- allowing another company whose prices are completely non-competitive to operate.
KevinO442
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KevinO442,
User Rank: Strategist
3/18/2014 | 6:31:00 PM
Re: Local retail
The problem with going onlin , "Brian, Dean" and researching , is that google and the like all want to put you in a filter bubble. They want you to log in , and then they want to show you only the high priced stuff , and deny you the search results for the lower priced stuff... why ? Because they're advertisers pay them to do this, to push their ads to the top of the results list.

 

Researching stuff online is becoming more and more tricky  as the various search engines start taking hand outs from advertisers to push their (high priced) results and out right get rid of the lower priced alternatives.
KevinO442
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KevinO442,
User Rank: Strategist
3/18/2014 | 6:24:57 PM
opinion
Local Retail : The only thing you're going to be buying locally is paste for your 3D printer , or looking for a decent restaurant.  You can cook for yoruself and it's $120 / month for groceries, but still the restaurants and bars are full.  And IBM seems to be ignoring the coming disaster known as 3D printing so the only "buying locally" you'll be doing is heading to the 'crafting room' to start something printing and coming back the next day when it's done.

 

Digital Guardian : You build a digital guardian , they will make that guardian the first thing they hack. It's pretty routine now a days for virii to go after the anti-virus programs on a computer first, disable it , and then go for the gold.  This one is already debunked.

Doctors and DNA : A rosy future, but it opens a snakes nest of using "altered DNA" or even someone elses DNA , on a patient to fix things that maybe shouln't be fixed. (lot third worlders want boys only , because a boy child will help the parents when they get old where as a girl child is just a burden in their cultures...yeesh ! )

 

 
KevinO442
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KevinO442,
User Rank: Strategist
3/18/2014 | 6:11:30 PM
Cognative Computing is Toast
I believe Cognative Computing (ie: A computerized class room , computerized medical care, etc etc) is toast. It will never happen , except for a short disaster filled test run.

Ever see that robocop movie where they rebuilt him after he got trashed, and the politicians got a hold of him and inserted ten zillian different wacky commands to apease every interest group there was ?

yeah , picture the politico's in america getting a hold of a sentient classroom and demanding evolution be banned from it and it teach the bible instead. Picture the sentient computer deciding that "since you all go to heaven when you die , you should all run out and play in traffic" , or play russian roulette . Not guarenteed death , so not technically suicide but ...

Yeesh.

Picture it teaching evolution , and deciding little tommy is too weak to survive, therefore by the rules of evolution the rest of the class should beat him up and kill him.

Yeesh again.

A human being can look at these rules and say "this is nutso , I'm not doing that." A sentient machine , forced to obey , politicians demanding certain things be put in and acted on not just ignored ... no. That's a recipie for disaster.
J_Brandt
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J_Brandt,
User Rank: Ninja
12/23/2013 | 8:06:34 PM
Loal Retail
I think people's comfort with local retail is dependent on the whos and whats.  My mother has never and will never shop online – many of her generation will not.  But as each successive generation is more comfortable online that will change.  People who are making a questionable purchase will go where the return policy is more favorable or hassle free.  People who need something NOW (Amazon delivery drones aside) will always go local.  I know people that browse local, touch and feel it, then buy online.  I know others that compare and contrast and read the online reviews and then buy local.  I think people will always use one source and buy from another.  The more an item is a commodity, the more this happens.
Li Tan
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Li Tan,
User Rank: Ninja
12/22/2013 | 9:54:37 PM
Re: Local retail
Thomas, I have the same opinion as yours. The local retail is a kind of business that will be in an embarrassing position in the future digitial world. Recently a big local chain retail enterprise got backrupt in China. One of the major reasons is the fierce competition from online market, which has big variety of goods and timely delivery system. Nowadays there is a trend that big department store becomes the place to have the dinner, watch the movie and other kinds of entertainments instead of shopping. People do shopping online quite often - I just got one pair of ECCO leather shoes from web last weekend.:-)
Thomas Claburn
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Thomas Claburn,
User Rank: Author
12/18/2013 | 7:10:53 PM
Re: Local retail
I have my doubts about the viability of local retail. Local shops just can't hold the inventory of e-commerce giants. I can't tell you how many times I've looked for an item in a neighborhood shop, only to find that the store doesn't have the right size, color, or options I'm looking for. Usually, that business ends up going to Amazon or the like.
billmosby
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billmosby,
User Rank: Apprentice
12/18/2013 | 1:55:06 PM
Computer intelligence and learning
I suppose one more innovation might be needed, something to keep us motivated to learn after it becomes common knowledge that computers are smarter than we are and can do for us everything we need done.
Laurianne
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Laurianne,
User Rank: Author
12/18/2013 | 1:34:02 PM
Classroom Of Future
The classroom vision seems rosy. Changing curriculum involves serious political battles in public schools, as the current controversy over Common Core shows.
TomM765
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TomM765,
User Rank: Apprentice
12/18/2013 | 1:00:34 PM
Re: Local retail
There is more to this.  The difference may be the convience factor and getting it then and there vs. going back home to get a few percentage points off on Amazon.  But there are two other issues here also.  On Amazon you get built in comparision shopping not only in price, but in other similar produces and associated product add-ons and produce reviews that most brick and mortor stores can't come close to providing for want of stocking space and overhead (unless they want to become net centric front ends).  For shoppers who have a need but not nessesarily a brand loyaty this is a big plus.  And until we level the network tax playing field the brick and mortor stores will be tied down with added local taxes and be hit again by amplified morgage and upkeep costs that will price them out of many markets.  
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