Possible Scenarios of Cognitive Computing
No doubt, there can be many benefits to cognitive computing. There are also many potential impacts on ethics, society, and economics. One way to explore these is via scenario generation. Some of these are in "Turing's Nightmares" --- the two biggest dangers are not from technology per se, but from unrelenting greed coupled with hubris. The first means that, in the interest of making more money, no holds are barred. Anything that you can get away with in terms of hype, false advertising, buying governments, etc. goes. Hubris means that people will tend to design systems that fail to allow sufficient human over-ride and intervention. We see this today in much simpler lower function systems; e.g., audio menus that leave no option for contacting a human being. In many cases, "customer support" has been trivialized to a website with FAQ and a form to fill out with a set of category boxes (in other words, the designer PRESUMES that they have predeterimined every possible type of issue with a system). That is what makes "ethical" high function cognitive computing unlikely. Too bad, because the upside potential is fantastic.