So last week, VanRoekel and Office of Management and Budget director Jeff Zients introduced PortfolioStat, a series of annual, data-based reviews of agency IT projects (more sweeping than the previous TechStat program), as well as a new requirement for fed agencies to develop consolidation plans for commodity IT services. All good--as long as these measures actually produce meaningful spending cuts rather than just shuffle federal IT dollars around.
In a memo announcing the two initiatives, VanRoekel calls out the Department of the Interior, which he says will realize $100 million in annual savings (on an IT budget of about $1 billion) from 2016 to 2020 "by modernizing IT infrastructure and aligning resources to improve customer service." Furthermore, he estimates that IT spending reviews already carried out at Interior have rendered $11 million in "cost avoidance" and $2.2 million in "redirection." Again, will any of that money drop to the bottom line?
The fact that Interior's fiscal 2013 IT budget is pegged to decline by $28.6 million--2.9%--compared with the previous year's budget is a positive sign. But let's see if the agency's annual IT budget falls by anywhere near $100 million between 2016 and 2020.
VanRoekel is quick to point out that fiscal discipline is returning to federal government IT. After growing at a ridiculous compound annual growth rate of more than 7% between 2001 and 2009--pretty lean years for private sector IT organizations--federal IT spending has come in flat ever since. Still, at about $80 billion in aggregate, the federal IT budget could use a haircut. Instead, for every IT dollar budgeted to be saved next year at the likes of Interior (down $28.6 million), Housing and Urban Development (down $97.2 million), and Justice (down $102 million), an additional dollar will be spent at the likes of Agriculture (up $79.9 million), Veterans Affairs (up $216.1 million), and Treasury (up $358.7 million).
The same week in which VanRoekel and Zients rolled out PortfolioStat and urged IT consolidation, it was business technology as usual for half a dozen other federal agencies, as the White House unveiled an initiative under which Defense, Homeland Security, Energy, and a handful of other agencies will spend an additional $200 million on big data R&D. At a news conference, agency representatives "seemed more intent on talking about their unique initiatives and less focused on how they could collaborate with other agencies," noted my colleague Doug Henschen.
Granted, some of their big data programs are agency-specific, but Henschen couldn't help notice that "amid the din of acronyms and price-tag-unknown projects, the same terms kept coming up: data volume, data variety, modeling and algorithms, data visualization, making information actionable, and so on." It smelled a lot like the kind of "duplicative" IT that VanRoekel and Zients are hoping to root out.
For all the talk about the government adopting private sector best practices, few people in Washington have shown they have the stomach or will to make the kinds of really hard decisions that companies make all the time--the kind that cut budgets rather than just keep them from expanding. Agency CIOs are apt to take their spending cues from the capital's politicians and career bureaucrats, for whom fiscal responsibility remains an alien concept.
Consider the federal budget histrionics this week. As part of his rebuke of the plan put forth by Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan, which proposes deep cuts in entitlement programs in an attempt to whack trillions of dollars in spending through 2022 from the Obama budget plan, the president claims to have already "eliminated dozens of programs that weren't working." But according to a Wall Street Journal editorial on Wednesday, "the savings from these eliminations amount to less than 0.1% of the budget, or less than $100 million." That is, they're all show, no substance. Not that the Republicans were penny pinchers during the last administration. Far from it. During the eight years George W. Bush was in office, the national debt doubled to more than $10 trillion because of spending increases and tax cuts.
Ah, a billion here, a billion there and pretty soon you're talking real money.
VanRoekel and his predecessor, Vivek Kundra, have done well to identify $4 billion in "cost avoidance" and "redirection" as a result of the TechStat program. Begin to lop those billions and more from future budgets, and we'll be more impressed.
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