Don't Miss: Does Apple's Snow Leopard Really Matter To SMBs?
Whatever. The underlying question of all these articles is whether Windows 7 will halt the growth in Mac market share or whether Snow Leopard will spur it to greater heights. My suspicion, especially when it comes to SMBs, is neither. This is not the best economic climate for businesses to be switching platforms -- in either direction, the costs of retraining and acquiring new software overwhelms any perceived difference in price. I'd expect companies to stay with what they know for now.
Further, for Windows 7 to make a difference, you'd have to assume that the issues with Vista were responsible for the Mac's growth in market share, and I'm not sure that's supportable. Using the best data I could find, I graphed the growth in Mac share from 2004 through 2008, and the big bend in the curve came in 2005, a year or more before Vista was released. Since then, Mac market share has been increasing roughly 25 percent a year. If the Mac's growth was well underway before Vista stumbled onto the scene, is Windows 7 really going to change the game?
Don't Miss: Apple Snow Leopard Squares Off Against Windows 7
That article does point to another trend that may prove to be troublesome for Apple, though: the increasing popularity of netbooks. There's some question whether they will be major players in the SMB market, and Apple may have an answer up its sleeve. But those are major questions, and I'll address them in my next post.