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Analyst Banks On Wireless, Comm Growth

Robert Abbe, managing director at investment banking firm Jefferies Broadview, offers up his technology prognostications for the next few years.
To secure the mobile warrior, companies in the United States will spend $415.9 billion in 2006 for security software, services and hardware, up from $13.5 billion in 2004, according to IDC estimates.

Expect cellular phone manufacturers like Motorola, Nokia and Palm Inc. to diversify risk and move toward more types of operating systems. Many are concerned about "Microsoft controlling the operating systems and replay what we've seen on the desktop," Abbe said. "You saw Motorola aggressively pursue PalmSource, a move to control their destiny with open source solutions for future mobile devices."

Higher-end cellular phones and mobile devices that run Linux will begin to become more prevalent in 2006, Abbe said. Earlier this month, Nokia launched opensource.nokia.com, a new Internet portal for its open source software projects. The idea is to drive reliability features into higher-end mobile devices. The projects presented in the portal enable Nokia to share information on mobile software with open source developers to further drive the industry's development. Nokia, even though it mostly uses the Symbian operating system in smart phones, in May released a mobile device called the Nokia 770 Internet Tablet on Linux, all indications there is more to come.

Listen to Robert Abbe discuss his predictions in this podcast.