Re: New NEW Drivers
This is all a very interesting line of development, but without datapoints and other evidence, it's really impossible to predict timelines.
There is an economic argument as well; unless self-driving cars are very cheap, people who still can only afford high mileage used cars, you know, people with less money than the middle class, will keep driving those for some time.
>> At some point not far from now, traditional driving schools will cease to exist simply because there will not be market for their service.
I suspect not in your lifetime or mine.
>> New drivers will not be interested in traditional drving, unless they do it as a hobby,
Do you have consumer surveys on this? Would like to see them.
>> Most new drivers will have self-driving cars.
Haven't seen one prediction that says this.
When the technology fails, do people still have to know how to park? Break? Pass on the left?
What is clear is that with state and federal laws, insurance issues, and technology issues, the adoption curve here is long, and will be implemented in some places and not others. Further complicating the issues is a mix of regaulr and self-driving vehicles sharing roadways, something that may limit where self-driving cars can safely operate.