PC Sales Slump Continues - InformationWeek
PC Sales Slump Continues
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User Rank: Ninja
8/31/2013 | 6:36:45 PM
re: PC Sales Slump Continues
That is the problem with a mature market. For what 90% of people do, a Pentium 4 PC is good enough (web browsing, email, word processing). Who needs to upgrade to an i7 processor, 16 GB of RAM, and an inane (insane?) in your face tablet operating system that most desktop people who have tried it have come to hate? People now buy new PCs when they break, not to get "new and improved" features, as they do with phones or tablets. The old routine of upgrading your PC every three years has become more like 5 to 8 years. And that makes economic sense to most consumers. Unix/Linux has been touted as a Windows replacement for 15 years now and it hasn't happened. All the Linux fans have a chance come next April when Windows XP goes off into the sunset. Help your friends and neighbors get several more years use out of their existing PCs by putting Ubuntu or your favorite flavor on them and showing them how to do the basics. Microsoft and the PC makers are undoubtedly expecting a new wave of PC purchases (or upgrades to Windows 7 or 8) when XP goes belly up. The adoption of Ubuntu could put a monkey wrench into that forecast, but like I said, it is really up to the fans of Linux to make it happen. Your average person out here will not put Ubuntu on their own PCs because it is above their level of technical expertise.
Bob Gill
Bob Gill,
User Rank: Apprentice
8/31/2013 | 4:53:30 PM
re: PC Sales Slump Continues
Linux/Unix has been the next big thing in PCs for over 15 years. Give it up, they're done. Macs are no better than Windows PCs, both have their trade-offs and Linux is going nowhere.
In 2013, 100 million more PCs will be sold than tablets. I do agree with the analysts that in a couple years, tablets sales will beat out PC sales, but that's like saying bicycle sales beat out car sales - 2 different animals of the same species.
Windows 8 is a whole new way forward, certainly doesn't seem to be the best way at this point. By the end of this year though, Windows 8 computers will outnumber all Macs - in July it was 5.5% to 7.5%.
I have an Android tablet, but once Windows 8 Pro tablet devices get out there more, I'll likely buy one.
User Rank: Strategist
8/31/2013 | 2:55:28 PM
re: PC Sales Slump Continues
Very accurate editorial Michael.

Indeed Computer tasks have been relegated to numerous CPU devices now, so PC's and laptops just have a smaller share.

What will be interesting to see, since the mobile business is 97% dominated by Unix and Linux now, is how fast will PC & Laptop Users switch to Apple's Free BSD Unix and the plethora of Linux operating systems?

My bet is that since the World has learned how to live without Microsoft virus traps and lock down Office software on mobile devices, we are going to see an avalanche of Linux and Apple Free BSD adopters. Since Linux works on all existing & future PC's and laptops, Linux will have a larger market share than Apple.

The proof will be obvious when we see Balmer's famous 3rd party Developers! Developers! Developers! shipping Linux versions of their current Windows software.

I am seeing more and more of this every day. Even Microsoft provides a 32 bit version of Skype for Linux. Office for iPads and Android's are on the way too. You can bet the MFST Board is all over that cash cow.

The biggest problem is that Microsoft aka Mafiasoft has caused so much pain to its user base for over 3 decades, that the World has proved they not only can live without them, but they don't want to buy anything made by Microsoft anymore. If I were wrong then why was there a 900 million dollar Microsoft shablet write down on the books last quarter?

I predict the Consumer will jump the MicroKlunk Titanic first and the Enterprise will follow several years later, due to Redmond's lockdowns being more pervasive in Companies versus with Consumers. The mobile market has proved this already.

Keep in mind though that the Microsoft Enterprise sales attrition rate cancer will ultimately come from the new IT young guns who have not yet been hired. These people know better than the gray haired IT Management still in charge today.

Afterall, Consumers work in businesses so the momentum shift away from Microsoft has already happened.

BTW: I predicted Windows 8 and its mobile devices would fail miserably1 year before they shipped them.
Drew Conry-Murray
Drew Conry-Murray,
User Rank: Ninja
8/30/2013 | 9:08:36 PM
re: PC Sales Slump Continues
I'm not worried about the PC market. Constriction is inevitable as the smartphone market explodes, but it's not like there won't be PCs five years from now.

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