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Is Google Spreading Itself Too Thin?
Earlier this week, Google provided a sneak peek at a new service, Google Base. Google is being very hush-hush about the whole thing, but the site briefly made its way onto the public Internet, and an alert blogger snapped a screen capture. It's very mysterious what Google Base is; Google says it's an online, searchable database into which users can submit items. The site listed several examples of the kinds of items that could be submitted: used cars, descriptions of a party planning service and a "database of protein structures." That led observers to speculate that Google Base might be potential competition for eBay; the Associated Press called it a "classified ad service." And that's not all Google is doing. They're expanding into China, entering into a mysterious alliance with Sun, and developing up to 1 million square feet of research facility on a NASA research center in Silicon Valley. All of this activity raises the fear that, like Netscape, Google is taking on too much and, like Netscape, Google will do what any company or person does when they're overworked: screw up badly. As my colleague Rob Preston points out in an excellent editorial that expands on this subject: For all the talk about Microsoft's imminent demise, the company is in fact healthy and thriving. Its operating earnings were up 61% year-over-year, to $14.6 billion in fiscal 2005. It had $38 billion in cash and short-term investments at year end, even after giving back a record $44 billion to shareholders. And Windows and Office are still monopolies, and Internet Explorer has about 90% market share. Google is a powerful company, led and staffed by fearsomely smart people. But it remains to be seen whether Google will be a dominant player in the tech industry long-term, or whether it will self-destruct and be quickly forgotten. What do you think? « Podcast: Duke Dean Offers Solutions To Campus Tech Drought | Main | How Many Office Suites? » |
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