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1/30/2012
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Kindle Fire Sales Hit 6 Million In Q4

Amazon's Android-based tablet expected to boost year-end revenues, which the company is slated to report Tuesday.

Amazon Kindle Fire: Visual Tour
Amazon Kindle Fire: Visual Tour
(click image for larger view and for slideshow)
While Amazon specializes in hawking bestsellers of the literary kind, new numbers show that the online retailer can claim a blockbuster of its own making with the Kindle Fire.

Amazon shipped as many as 6 million Kindle Fire tablets in the fourth quarter of 2011, according to a revised estimate by Stifel Nicolaus analyst Jordan Rohan, who previously pegged sales at 5 million units.

In a note Sunday to investors, Rohan said Amazon's competitive pricing--the Kindle Fire sells for $199, compared to $499 for the least expensive Apple iPad 2--is a major reason behind the Android-based tablet's popularity. "Kindle Fire has staked out an important market position due to its loyal Amazon customer base and attractive device pricing," said Rohan.

Further evidence of Kindle Fire's strong sales can be found on Amazon's own best sellers list. The tablet remains the top-seller in the electronics category, a position it's occupied for weeks.

[What's the takeaway from mobile device makers' financial reports? See Smartphone, Tablet Races: 4 Telling Numbers.]

Previous studies have shown that Amazon actually loses money on Kindle Fire device sales, but hopes to more than recoup those losses through increased sales of books, movies, and other media that Kindle Fire users can purchase through Amazon's Web store.

Kindle Fire boasts some impressive specs for a sub-$200 slate. The 7-inch LCD screen displays 16 million colors in high-resolution, at 169 pixels per inch. In-plane switching technology provides wide viewing angles. A dual-core processor, reportedly from Texas Instruments, provides quick responsiveness.

The device weighs just 14.6 ounces, making it possible for most people to hold in one hand.

Kindle Fire also provides out-of-the-box integration with Amazon subscription services for movies, TV shows, games, and music. And it boasts a new browser called Silk that splits rendering tasks between the tablet and Amazon's big iron EC2 servers in the cloud, an approach that Amazon says is faster than traditional browsers, but has also raised privacy concerns.

Amazon is scheduled to release fourth quarter results on Tuesday, when market watchers expect the company to disclose more information about sales of Kindle Fire, which went on sale in the United States on Nov. 15. Wall Street analysts are, on average, expecting Amazon to report earnings per share of 19 cents, on revenue of $18.2 billion, according to data from Thomson Reuters.

Amazon shares were off 1.61%, to $192.23, in early trading Monday.

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jimfrost01
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jimfrost01,
User Rank: Apprentice
1/31/2012 | 12:38:03 AM
re: Kindle Fire Sales Hit 6 Million In Q4
This doesn't make sense. At the end of January Amazon claimed they were selling 1M Kindles per week in December (see press release http://www.huffingtonpost.com/.... That's Kindles of all varieties combined; Amazon has not broken them out by type. If we extrapolate that back to the Fire's launch in mid-November, which is perhaps a bit generous since that's before the start of the holiday buying season, that gives ~6M all right, but not 6M Fires: 6M of everything. Heck, numbers for the whole 4th quarter are estimated at 8.3 million across all devices. Do you really think 3/4 of those are Fires?

Numbers significantly lower than 6M jive with figures I've seen that Amazon's production capability is limited to around 1M Fires per month. Even with pre-release build-up you're talking about a potential inventory of maybe four million units, but three is somewhat more likely.

Further, his number doesn't jive with web traffic either, which at the end of the year showed around 2.5 Kindles per 100 iPad impressions. We know how many iPads are out there -- around 50M -- which, if everything were equal, means around 1.25M Fires ... unless you think iPad users are a solid 400% more likely to use the web browser. That seems somewhat unlikely from what I've seen, web browsing is quite a popular thing to do with a Fire, although I don't doubt that the iPad does see more web use.

I would be betting on a number much closer to 3M, and perhaps 4M on the outside. That fits the numbers Amazon gave better, it fits the production capability, and it fits the web traffic. 6M is someone's fantasy. Still, 3-4M is nothing to sneeze at, and it's hell-and-gone better than any other Android tablet.
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